Prediction of Ye Cong Mo vs Jacopo Vasami at Shenzhen Challenger 10-12-25

• Ye Cong Mo has a second serve win rate of 43.73%, slightly below Jacopo Vasami's 43.77%. Does this subtle difference affect overall performance predictions? Not significantly.
• Ye Cong Mo excels in returning second serves, winning 48.21% of these points compared to Jacopo Vasami's 40.17%. Could this be an important factor? It certainly gives Mo an edge in return games.
• First serve return stats are close, with Mo at 25.12% and Vasami slightly ahead at 26.47%—a minor advantage for Vasami in first serve returns.
• Under pressure, Vasami outperforms Mo, saving 64.49% of breakpoints against Mo's 54.19%. This could be crucial in tight matches.
• Overall, Vasami has a higher match win rate over the past year with 53.85% compared to Mo's 51.11%, indicating a slightly more successful year.
• Mo's preferred surface is Hard, with a 62% win rate, while Vasami favors Clay, also winning 62% there. What impact do these preferences have? Depends on the current match surface.
• Mo has played mainly in Futures/ITF tournaments, winning 55.56% of matches, whereas Vasami competes more in Challengers with a 56.25% success rate. Competition level could play a role in adapting to this match.
• Both players have faced similarly ranked opponents, with minor differences (Mo against average rank 408, Vasami 412).
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Vasami appears stronger, winning 63% compared to Mo's 36% of such sets.

Editorial Prediction (October 11, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing the various stats, Ye Cong Mo shows a strong capability in returning second serves, offering a potential advantage if he can push the match into more return-focused games.

Jacopo Vasami demonstrates strength in saving breakpoints, indicating reliability under pressure, which often proves critical in tight or high-stakes situations.

Vasami also shows a higher match-winning rate over the past year, which might reflect either form or consistency, thus adding to his overall resilience.

Finally, in potentially decisive sets, Vasami has the upper hand, often emerging victorious, which could be indicative of a mental edge.

Considering these factors, Jacopo Vasami is more likely to win the upcoming tennis match, although Ye Cong Mo’s return abilities could pose a challenge.